Direct answer: the model uses pre-game lineup, recent performance, home/away, injury and market data to estimate probabilities. Outputs are locked before the event and settled afterward; estimates are not guaranteed outcomes.
Inputs vary by league: MLB emphasizes starters, bullpen and recent offense; NBA emphasizes injuries, rest, pace and efficiency; football includes expected goals, lineups and recent form. Only information available before the stated cut-off is used.
The model estimates outcome probabilities and a confidence range, then checks late lineup, injury and market changes. Missing critical data lowers confidence or excludes a game from the featured set.
Each prediction receives a pre-game timestamp and is not rewritten after lock. Results are settled from final scores so readers can inspect sample size, hits and evaluation period.
When a game isn't a confident call, we'd rather pass. We don't force a pick just to "have one every day" — we only act when the model and experience both agree.
Intuition has to be tested against data. The proprietary quant model gives an objective win probability first, then the analyst makes a manual check for injuries, rest days and line moves.
Even the sharpest analysis can't save reckless staking. We always remind members: fixed-percentage staking, within your means — that's the only way a long-term win rate matters.
Vincent Chiang often says: "Predicting games isn't guesswork — it's managing uncertainty." The model's details are a core asset built over the team's data-leds and are not disclosed — but every output is published for scrutiny.
The biggest problem in this industry is hindsight: brag about the winners, quietly delete the losers. Vincent Chiang's answer to that is simple —All predictions are locked before tip-off and uneditable afterward, listing every hit and miss — losing streaks stay up on the wall too.
You don't need to believe any sales talk —Go straight to the record. The date, matchup, predicted side, actual result and hit/miss of every prediction are all published on the track-record page — verify each one for yourself.
The track-record page keeps a complete history of past predictions, locked before tip-off and never adjusted afterward. No model or analysis can guarantee results, and past hit rates don't indicate future performance — but we guarantee the record is real. Go to Track record and hit rate Verify one by one.
This site's content is the analytical opinion of our analyst team, for information and entertainment only. No prediction can guarantee a result, and past hit rates don't indicate future performance. EdgePicks Accepts no betting of any kind, all content isDoes not constitute betting advice. Please play responsibly and within your means; no gambling under 18. See the full terms at Disclaimer。
Elite games with high-confidence win rates, unlocked via monthly subscription or a partner-platform deposit, with synced alerts in the VIP Telegram channel
See how to unlock