● Not startedLa Liga
Confidence: High
Alavés vs Valencia Who will win? Pre-match prediction & analysis
🕐 Kickoff：9/16 02:00（GMT+8)
AI We predict this game goes to Alavés to win, with a moneyline win probability of about 68%, Confidence: High; the most likely score is 1:0. This prediction is Proprietary Quant Model Generated automatically, published and locked in before the game, and settled transparently afterward.
1. Win probability
Alavés68%
Valencia32%
2. Matchup lean
Alavés
68%Valencia
32%3. Alavés vs Valencia ScorePick Correct-score guide（Most likely score）
1:0
11%
2:0
10%
2:1
10%
4. Handicap analysis
Alavés cover rate65%
5. Over/Under prediction
Over 2.5 goals53%
6. Moneyline odds
Fair threshold1.48↑
Only worth it above this odds
7. Last 5 form
Alavéslosswinwindrawwin
Valencialosslosslosslossdraw
🎯 How to bet this one
Top pick: bet “Alavés Handicap”
For the total, check the threshold.Moneylinesome value.
How to bet this gameAI advice
Recommended bet
Bet Alavés Handicap
Check your book's handicap: bet if it's 1 goals or less; don't chase if over 2.25 goals.
Model has Alavés winning by ~1.3 goals Confidence High
Recommended bet
Over/Under — threshold
Model puts this game at ~2.6 goals: line at 3+ take under, 2 or less take over, in between skip.
Estimated from this game's offense/defense data Confidence Mid
Recommended bet
Moneyline (Alavés win)
Moneyline only worth it above 1.48; below that it's not.
Model win rate 68% Confidence High
Books differ — we give the threshold: compare it to your platform's current line, bet if it fits, skip if not, regardless of book or decimal odds.
💡 Odds value calculator
Take the sportsbook's current "Alavés moneyline" odds, enter them, and the AI instantly works out whether the price is worth it.
→ Value
—
Value =（AI Win rate − odds-implied probability). The larger the positive value, the more the line's odds favor you (+EV). In-game odds move, so you can re-enter them anytime.
View detailed data (head-to-head / AI prediction markets)▾
Matchup info
AlavésHOMERecent form（win/draw/loss）
losswinwindrawwin
Power rating1497
ValenciaAWAYRecent form（win/draw/loss）
losslosslosslossdraw
Power rating1459
AI Prediction · market
Alavés to win this one vs Valencia ?6 / 6
Win/draw/loss prediction
Alavés win
Home win 65% · Draw 20% · Away win 14%
Unsettledquant-v1
📌 09/13 08:02 Recorded · uneditableDouble chance / Win or draw
Alavés Win or draw
win or draw (double chance)
Unsettledquant-v1
📌 09/13 08:02 Recorded · uneditableCorrect scoreScoreline picks · graded by risk (Alavés - Valencia）· quant-v2
Safe1:011% · 9倍Attacking pick2:010% · 10倍Value play2:110% · 10倍
Handicap prediction
Alavés give 0.5 goals
Cover probability
Unsettledquant-v1
📌 09/13 08:02 Recorded · uneditableOver/Under prediction
Over 2.5 球
Expected total goals ~2.8 goals
Unsettledquant-v1
📌 09/13 08:02 Recorded · uneditableBoth teams to score
No (both teams won't score)
BTTS · at least one team being shut out makes it "No"
Unsettledquant-v1
📌 09/13 08:02 Recorded · uneditableFirst-half result
Alavés leading
leading at the half
Unsettledquant-v1
📌 09/13 08:02 Recorded · uneditableFor information-market reference only. We do not offer betting, trading, deposits or guaranteed results. All predictions are locked in before the game and settled afterward.
FAQ
Alavés vs Valencia Who wins?
Based on EdgePicks' proprietary quant model, we favor Alavés to win, with a moneyline win probability of about 68%, Confidence: High.
Alavés vs Valencia ScorePredicts：What's the most likely score?
Alavés vs Valencia ScorePredicts, Computed by our proprietary quant model, the three most likely scorelines are 1:0（11%）, 2:0（10%）, 2:1（10%）.
Is this prediction accurate?
All predictions are published and settled afterward. The proprietary quant model is calibrated by backtesting against large volumes of real games; the full hit-rate record is on the track-record page.
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⚠️ Predictions on this page are auto-generated by a quant model — for reference and entertainment only, not betting advice. EdgePicks is an information-only service and accepts no bets. Please play responsibly and within your means. No participation under 18.