● Not startedPremier League
Confidence: High
York City vs Crawley Town Who will win? Pre-match prediction & analysis
🕐 Kickoff：8/4 02:30（GMT+8)
AI We predict this game goes to York City to win, with a moneyline win probability of about 63%, Confidence: High; the most likely score is 2:1. This prediction is Proprietary Quant Model Generated automatically, published and locked in before the game, and settled transparently afterward.
1. Win probability
York City63%
Crawley Town37%
2. Matchup lean
York City
63%Crawley Town
37%3. Most likely score Correct-score guide（York City・Crawley Town）
2:1
9%
1:0
9%
2:0
9%
4. Handicap analysis
York City cover rate61%
5. Over/Under prediction
Over 2.5 goals59%
6. Moneyline odds
Fair threshold1.59↑
Only worth it above this odds
7. Last 5 form
York Citydrawwinwinwinwin
Crawley Towndrawdrawdrawlossloss
🎯 How to bet this one
Top pick: bet “York City Handicap”
For the total, check the threshold.Moneylinesome value.
How to bet this gameAI advice
Recommended bet
Bet York City Handicap
Check your book's handicap: bet if it's 0.5 goals or less; don't chase if over 1.75 goals.
Model has York City winning by ~1.1 goals Confidence Mid-high
Recommended bet
Over/Under — threshold
Model puts this game at ~2.7 goals: line at 3+ take under, 2 or less take over, in between skip.
Estimated from this game's offense/defense data Confidence Mid
Recommended bet
Moneyline (York City win)
Moneyline only worth it above 1.59; below that it's not.
Model win rate 63% Confidence Mid-high
Books differ — we give the threshold: compare it to your platform's current line, bet if it fits, skip if not, regardless of book or decimal odds.
💡 Odds value calculator
Take the sportsbook's current "York City moneyline" odds, enter them, and the AI instantly works out whether the price is worth it.
→ Value
—
Value =（AI Win rate − odds-implied probability). The larger the positive value, the more the line's odds favor you (+EV). In-game odds move, so you can re-enter them anytime.
View detailed data (head-to-head / AI prediction markets)▾
Matchup info
York CityHOMERecent form（win/draw/loss）
drawwinwinwinwin
Power rating1500
Crawley TownAWAYRecent form（win/draw/loss）
drawdrawdrawlossloss
Power rating1500
AI Prediction · market
York City to win this one vs Crawley Town ?6 / 6
Win/draw/loss prediction
York City win
Home win 61% · Draw 20% · Away win 19%
Unsettledquant-v1
📌 07/31 08:01 Recorded · uneditableDouble chance / Win or draw
York City Win or draw
win or draw (double chance)
Unsettledquant-v1
📌 07/31 08:01 Recorded · uneditableCorrect scoreScoreline picks · graded by risk (York City - Crawley Town）· quant-v2
Safe2:19% · 11倍Attacking pick1:09% · 11倍Value play2:09% · 11倍
Handicap prediction
York City give 0.5 goals
Cover probability
Unsettledquant-v1
📌 07/31 08:01 Recorded · uneditableOver/Under prediction
Over 2.5 球
Expected total goals ~3.1 goals
Unsettledquant-v1
📌 07/31 08:01 Recorded · uneditableBoth teams to score
Yes (both teams score)
BTTS · at least one team being shut out makes it "No"
Unsettledquant-v1
📌 07/31 08:01 Recorded · uneditableFirst-half result
York City leading
leading at the half
Unsettledquant-v1
📌 07/31 08:01 Recorded · uneditableFor information-market reference only. We do not offer betting, trading, deposits or guaranteed results. All predictions are locked in before the game and settled afterward.
FAQ
York City vs Crawley Town Who wins?
Based on EdgePicks' proprietary quant model, we favor York City to win, with a moneyline win probability of about 63%, Confidence: High.
York City 對 Crawley Town What's the most likely score?
Computed by our proprietary quant model, the three most likely scorelines are 2:1（9%）, 1:0（9%）, 2:0（9%）.
Is this prediction accurate?
All predictions are published and settled afterward. The proprietary quant model is calibrated by backtesting against large volumes of real games; the full hit-rate record is on the track-record page.
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⚠️ Predictions on this page are auto-generated by a quant model — for reference and entertainment only, not betting advice. EdgePicks is an information-only service and accepts no bets. Please play responsibly and within your means. No participation under 18.